1 · The Terrain & Who Wins
A flat, fast run-in built for the fast men. The sprinters' teams will lock the race down and line it out for a bunch gallop on the line.
Rider type: Pure sprinters
2 · The Watts/kg It Takes to Win
An estimated ~1578 W held for the finale (endurance + neuromuscular sprints).
What Actually Happened
Tim Merlier does 20.4 W/kg and 1,550 watts for 12 seconds at up to 70.6 km/h. Soudal Quick-Step delivered him perfectly and the fastest man in the race held off Søren Wærenskjold and Biniam Girmay on the line, all with the same time of 3:44:20. Our favorites came up just short: Girmay third, Philipsen fifth, Pedersen eighth.
The sprint data surfaced via Velon: Merlier covered the final 225 m in 12 seconds, averaging 68.1 km/h with a max of 70.6 km/h. Run through our model at his 76 kg, that works out to roughly 1,550 W, or 20.4 W/kg. Our prediction said 20.5 W/kg and ~1,578 watts: the closest bullseye of the Tour so far.
3 · Three Favorites
- 1Jasper Philipsen
- 2Mads Pedersen
- 3Biniam Girmay
4 · Train These Watts — Copy This Into CoachCat
What that workout looks like (90 min Z2 endurance with 4 x 15-second max sprints):
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Want a plan that builds these watts?
Train the exact power demands of the Tour, scaled to your fitness and your schedule. Two ways to do it with FasCat: