1 · The Terrain & Who Wins
A mountain day topping out on Orcieres-Merlette (7.1 km @ 6.7%). With the GC all but decided and two Alpe d'Huez summit finishes looming, the yellow jersey group has every reason to save matches. Expect a huge fight to make the morning breakaway, a gap that stretches past five minutes, and a stage decided up the road while the GC rides sweet spot behind.
Rider type: Breakaway stage hunters
2 · The Watts/kg It Takes to Win
An estimated ~460 W held for ~19 min (sweet spot).
That is the breakaway winner scenario, our pick, with the GC group riding tempo behind. If the favorites decide to race the climb full gas, winning costs closer to 7.5 W/kg and ~480 W, anchored to Pogačar's best 20 minute efforts.
3 · Three Favorites
- 1Matteo Jorgenson
- 2Ben Healy
- 3Tadej Pogačar
4 · Train These Watts — Copy This Into CoachCat
What that workout looks like (3 x 15 min Sweet Spot (88-94% FTP)):
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Want a plan that builds these watts?
Train the exact power demands of the Tour, scaled to your fitness and your schedule. Two ways to do it with FasCat:
