FasCat Coaching · Powered by Physics

Tour de France 2026: Watts / Kg

Below, we're predicting the watts/kg it'll take to win each stage — the sprint, the summit finish, the time trial. After the finish, we calculate what the winner actually produced to see how close we got, and give you the custom workouts to train that power output.

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0/21 stages analyzed · updates automatically after each stage, July 4th to 26th, 2026
2026 Tour de France official route map, Barcelona to Paris
How we estimate it: power = gravity + rolling resistance + aerodynamic drag (drivetrain corrected), from each climb's length, gradient, altitude and the winner's time. Rider weight comes from procyclingstats, bike at the UCI minimum 6.8 kg. W/kg is on body weight. We are using physics to derive the power to weight ratios since the power data is not shared publicly, and we are happy to update our findings should the teams and riders wish to share their power data.
Stage 1 Barcelona TTT
July 4th, 2026 Team time trial

Stage 1: Barcelona TTT

6.1W/kg PREDICTED
~403 watts · Time-trial W/kg
Final climb: Cote du Stade Olympique · 1.1 km @ 5.1%
See watts, favorites & the workout →
Stage 2 Tarragona > Barcelona (Montjuic)
July 5th, 2026 Hilly

Stage 2: Tarragona > Barcelona (Montjuic)

7.98W/kg PREDICTED
~527 watts · Final-punch W/kg · ~5 min
Final climb: Cote du Chateau de Montjuic · 1.6 km @ 9.3%
See watts, favorites & the workout →
Stage 3 Granollers > Les Angles
July 6th, 2026 Mountains

Stage 3: Granollers > Les Angles

8.23W/kg PREDICTED
~527 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~4 min
Final climb: Les Angles · 1.7 km @ 6.5%
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Stage 4 Carcassonne > Foix
July 7th, 2026 Hilly

Stage 4: Carcassonne > Foix

7.15W/kg PREDICTED
~472 watts · Final-punch W/kg · ~18 min
Final climb: Col de Montsegur · 6.9 km @ 6.6%
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Stage 5 Lannemezan > Pau
July 8th, 2026 Flat

Stage 5: Lannemezan > Pau

20.5W/kg PREDICTED
~1578 watts · 5-second sprint W/kg
Finish: Bunch sprint
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Stage 6 Pau > Gavarnie-Gedre
July 9th, 2026 Mountains

Stage 6: Pau > Gavarnie-Gedre

6.77W/kg PREDICTED
~433 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~39 min
Final climb: Gavarnie-Gedre · 18.7 km @ 4.0%
See watts, favorites & the workout →
Stage 7 Hagetmau > Bordeaux
July 10th, 2026 Flat

Stage 7: Hagetmau > Bordeaux

20.5W/kg PREDICTED
~1578 watts · 5-second sprint W/kg
Finish: Bunch sprint
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Stage 8 Perigueux > Bergerac
July 11th, 2026 Flat

Stage 8: Perigueux > Bergerac

20.5W/kg PREDICTED
~1578 watts · 5-second sprint W/kg
Finish: Bunch sprint
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Stage 9 Malemort > Ussel
July 12th, 2026 Hilly

Stage 9: Malemort > Ussel

8.02W/kg PREDICTED
~529 watts · Final-punch W/kg · ~5 min
Final climb: Cote des Gardes · 2.2 km @ 4.8%
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Stage 10 Aurillac > Le Lioran
July 14th, 2026 Mountains

Stage 10: Aurillac > Le Lioran

7.3W/kg PREDICTED
~467 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~13 min
Final climb: Col de Pertus · 4.4 km @ 8.5%
📈 Strava segment · Puy Mary (Pas de Peyrol)
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Stage 11 Vichy > Nevers
July 15th, 2026 Flat

Stage 11: Vichy > Nevers

20.5W/kg PREDICTED
~1578 watts · 5-second sprint W/kg
Finish: Bunch sprint
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Stage 12 Magny-Cours > Chalon-sur-Saone
July 16th, 2026 Flat

Stage 12: Magny-Cours > Chalon-sur-Saone

20.5W/kg PREDICTED
~1578 watts · 5-second sprint W/kg
Finish: Bunch sprint
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Stage 13 Dole > Belfort
July 17th, 2026 Hilly

Stage 13: Dole > Belfort

7.04W/kg PREDICTED
~451 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~24 min
Final climb: Ballon d'Alsace · 8.7 km @ 6.9%
📈 Strava segment · Ballon d'Alsace
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Stage 14 Mulhouse > Le Markstein Fellering
July 18th, 2026 Mountains

Stage 14: Mulhouse > Le Markstein Fellering

6.88W/kg PREDICTED
~440 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~31 min
Final climb: Col du Haag · 11.2 km @ 7.3%
📈 Strava segment · Grand Ballon (Vosges)
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Stage 15 Champagnole > Plateau de Solaison
July 19th, 2026 Mountains

Stage 15: Champagnole > Plateau de Solaison

6.8W/kg PREDICTED
~435 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~36 min
Final climb: Plateau de Solaison · 11.6 km @ 8.9%
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Stage 16 Evian-les-Bains > Thonon-les-Bains ITT
July 21st, 2026 Individual time trial

Stage 16: Evian-les-Bains > Thonon-les-Bains ITT

6.5W/kg PREDICTED
~429 watts · Time-trial W/kg
Final climb: Cote de Larringes · 9.4 km @ 4.3%
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Stage 17 Chambery > Voiron
July 22nd, 2026 Flat

Stage 17: Chambery > Voiron

20.5W/kg PREDICTED
~1578 watts · 5-second sprint W/kg
Finish: Bunch sprint
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Stage 18 Voiron > Orcieres-Merlette
July 23rd, 2026 Mountains

Stage 18: Voiron > Orcieres-Merlette

7.13W/kg PREDICTED
~456 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~19 min
Final climb: Orcieres-Merlette · 7.1 km @ 6.7%
📈 Strava segment · Orcieres-Merlette
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Stage 20 Le Bourg d'Oisans > Alpe d'Huez (via Sarenne)
July 25th, 2026 Mountains

Stage 20: Le Bourg d'Oisans > Alpe d'Huez (via Sarenne)

6.81W/kg PREDICTED
~436 watts · Final-climb W/kg · ~36 min
Final climb: Col de Sarenne · 12.9 km @ 7.3%
📈 Strava segment · Alpe d'Huez (Official Crono)
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Stage 21 Thoiry > Paris (Champs-Elysees)
July 26th, 2026 Flat / Montmartre

Stage 21: Thoiry > Paris (Champs-Elysees)

20.5W/kg PREDICTED
~1578 watts · 5-second sprint W/kg
Final climb: Butte Montmartre · 1.0 km @ 5.9%
See watts, favorites & the workout →

Want to ride like this?

You won't hit 7 W/kg up Alpe d'Huez, but you can get measurably faster at your own sprint, climb, and threshold power. FasCat has turned the science into training plans for 20 years.